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Our view on
Economics & Markets

Macroeconomics and movements in financial markets impact many aspects of our lives. Having a well-informed view of what could transpire can help mitigate the risks we face and uncover profitable opportunities.

Our most recent publications

June 16, 2025

Weekly Macro & Markets View, Week 25

  • US inflation shows only very limited tariff-induced price pressure in May
    While some price rises are still likely, it is reassuring that inflation has not picked up substantially despite broad-based tariffs.
  • The price of oil rises sharply on events in the Middle East, with a risk of further escalation and a wider regional conflict
    Broader economic and financial market implications are likely to be limited unless the oil price rises materially further, though financial market volatility is set to remain elevated.
  • China and the US reach a preliminary trade framework, with China potentially easing rare earth export controls in exchange for relief on US chip exports
    Although no formal deal was signed, the progress reflects supply chain links that make full short-term decoupling unlikely.
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June 03, 2025

Monthly Investment Insights

Key developments

  • The US and China roll back tariffs for 90 days, reducing average US tariffs by almost half
  • Inflation data surprise to the downside in many regions, helped by lower oil and commodity prices
  • The S&P 500 has recouped all its post ‘liberation day’ losses, while other global stocks continue to outperform


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March 13, 2025

Inflation Focus

  • Tectonic shifts are underway in the global economy, driven by the changing geopolitical and global trade backdrop
  • Inflation should continue to grind lower near term, with goods deflation and slowing services inflation still in place
  • Central banks are set to respond to any emerging price pressures, which should help to contain inflation medium term
  • Inflation will remain volatile, however, amid more fractured global trade and defence spending pressures

 

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Weekly Macro & Markets View

Designed to give clear interpretation of the previous week’s macroeconomic and financial market developments. This publication represents how Zurich sees the financial landscape evolving on a week-by-week basis.

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Monthly Investment Insights

Structured to give a succinct view of the investment outlook and economic prospects for the coming months. Focus is on key developments from an investment perspective, with a tactical view presented on the major asset classes of equities, credit and government bonds.

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Inflation Focus

A quarterly publication, conveying the most likely outlook for inflation over the subsequent 12-24 months. Global and regional views are provided, detailing the driving forces behind the outlook. Point forecasts are offered for the major coverage areas, with short-term moves and pressures also identified.

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Topical Thoughts

Investigative research on specific issues that affect the business environment, with expert thoughts and opinions provided on an ad hoc basis.

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Economic and Market Outlook

With a 12 months focus, this publication is designed as a reference document for multiple user groups. It is segmented by region and provides in-depth coverage of both economic and financial market fundamentals, as well as the underlying trends that are observed.

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Mid-Year Outlook

An update on the Economic & Market Outlook is provided, gauging developments and projecting how the months ahead are likely to unfold.

Videos and Podcasts

To compliment some publications, a series of short videos and, in the case of Topical Thoughts and the Economic and Market Outlook, more detailed podcasts are available.

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