Our view on
Economics & Markets

Macroeconomics and movements in financial markets impact many aspects of our lives. Having a well-informed view of what could transpire can help mitigate the risks we face and uncover profitable opportunities.

Our most recent publications

May 26, 2025

Weekly Macro & Markets View, Week 22

The US House of Representatives narrowly passes the tax bill to extend large tax cuts
The bill now moves to the Senate, which is expected to make changes, with fiscal worries growing.
Donald Trump escalates the tension in US-EU trade negotiations, threatening a 50% tariff rate
Originally set to begin on June 1, diplomatic efforts have pushed the deadline to July 9, but the uncertain trade environment will likely weigh on economic activity.
Fiscal concerns drive global government bond yields higher, led by the long end
Bond market volatility is set to persist amid fiscal tensions, but yields should remain contained as central banks continue to cut rates while growth headwinds persist.

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May 02, 2025

Monthly Investment Insights

Key developments

US tarrifs on imported goods reach a 100-year high, despite some recent softening in stance by policymakers
Markets recover due to softer rhetoric emerging, but risk reward in stocks and credit appears inadequate
Consumer and CEO confidence tumble as outlooks for the economy and earnings become opaque

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March 13, 2025

Inflation Focus

Tectonic shifts are underway in the global economy, driven by the changing geopolitical and global trade backdrop
Inflation should continue to grind lower near term, with goods deflation and slowing services inflation still in place
Central banks are set to respond to any emerging price pressures, which should help to contain inflation medium term
Inflation will remain volatile, however, amid more fractured global trade and defence spending pressures

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Explore our publications

Designed to give clear interpretation of the previous week’s macroeconomic and financial market developments. This publication represents how Zurich sees the financial landscape evolving on a week-by-week basis.

Explore the Weekly

Structured to give a succinct view of the investment outlook and economic prospects for the coming months. Focus is on key developments from an investment perspective, with a tactical view presented on the major asset classes of equities, credit and government bonds.

Explore the Monthly

A quarterly publication, conveying the most likely outlook for inflation over the subsequent 12-24 months. Global and regional views are provided, detailing the driving forces behind the outlook. Point forecasts are offered for the major coverage areas, with short-term moves and pressures also identified.

Explore the Inflation Focus

Investigative research on specific issues that affect the business environment, with expert thoughts and opinions provided on an ad hoc basis.

Explore the Topical Thoughts

With a 12 months focus, this publication is designed as a reference document for multiple user groups. It is segmented by region and provides in-depth coverage of both economic and financial market fundamentals, as well as the underlying trends that are observed.

Explore the Outlook