Our view on
Economics & Markets
Macroeconomics and movements in financial markets impact many aspects of our lives. Having a well-informed view of what could transpire can help mitigate the risks we face and uncover profitable opportunities.
Our most recent publications
August 18, 2025
Weekly Macro & Markets View, Week 34
-
US inflation rates are reaccelerating
Rising inflation will make it more challenging for the Fed to justify looser monetary policy, but we still expect a rate cut of 25bps in September. -
The Reserve Bank of Australia
lowers the cash rate by 25bps to
3.6%, the lowest in over two years
Moderation in inflation and an easing in labour market conditions have given the RBA sufficient confidence to resume its gradual easing path, with a further cut expected in November. -
China’s July data flashes warning
signs as growth drivers stall and
retail sales disappoint
With momentum fading fast, we expect more stimulus is likely on the horizon.
August 08, 2025
Monthly Investment Insights
Key developments
- The US administration rolls out new tariffs on trading partners, with its effective tariffs back at a century high
- Weaker than expected US job data raise concerns of a growth slowdown, with markets now pricing in more agressive Fed cuts
- US big tech earnings results are exceptionally strong, with Meta, Alphabet and Microsoft posting robust double-digit growth in cloud computing and AI powered ad services
Explore publications
July 09, 2025
Mid-year Outlook 2025: Living in a Land of Confusion
A profound first half of the year has seen many of the accepted norms of the prevailing world order shaken as the new US administration follows through on election pledges to ‘Make America Great Again’. In some cases, friends have become foes, spats with neighbours have flared up, and tariffs have dominated the narrative. Geopolitics have vied for top billing, as wars have raged, while debt sustainability has become a broader concern. Financial markets have been volatile, with equity bear markets encountered before recoveries pushed many stock markets to record highs. US exceptionalism, so heavily embraced at the end of last year, is being questioned with the mighty dollar falling sharply. As we piece together a new jigsaw puzzle for the remainder of the year, what is clear is that we are all now living in a land of confusion.
Explore our publications
Weekly Macro & Markets View
Designed to give clear interpretation of the previous week’s macroeconomic and financial market developments. This publication represents how Zurich sees the financial landscape evolving on a week-by-week basis.
Monthly Investment Insights
Structured to give a succinct view of the investment outlook and economic prospects for the coming months. Focus is on key developments from an investment perspective, with a tactical view presented on the major asset classes of equities, credit and government bonds.
Inflation Focus
A quarterly publication, conveying the most likely outlook for inflation over the subsequent 12-24 months. Global and regional views are provided, detailing the driving forces behind the outlook. Point forecasts are offered for the major coverage areas, with short-term moves and pressures also identified.
Topical Thoughts
Investigative research on specific issues that affect the business environment, with expert thoughts and opinions provided on an ad hoc basis.
Economic and Market Outlook
With a 12 months focus, this publication is designed as a reference document for multiple user groups. It is segmented by region and provides in-depth coverage of both economic and financial market fundamentals, as well as the underlying trends that are observed.
Mid-Year Outlook
An update on the Economic & Market Outlook is provided, gauging developments and projecting how the months ahead are likely to unfold.
Videos and Podcasts
To compliment some publications, a series of short videos and, in the case of Topical Thoughts and the Economic and Market Outlook, more detailed podcasts are available.
Our newsletter
Get regular insights
To keep abreast of global developments, please subscribe here: