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Weekly Macro & Markets View

What were the key global economic data releases, what is Zurich’s view and what does this mean for financial assets?

Weekly Macro and Markets View, Week 8

Highlights and View

  • The US unemployment rate ticks down to 4.3% while headline inflation slows to 2.4% YoY
    A stronger labour market and fading inflation is a benign environment for stock markets though investors remain cautious.
  • Government bonds rally on the back of soft activity and inflation data, with equity market volatility also contributing
    Further downside to yields is likely to be limited as economic activity is set to remain resilient while prospects for further rate cuts are restricted.
  • JGB yields tighten across the curve following emphatic election victory of PM Takaichi in Japan
    The market had expected expansionist policies to necessitate further debt issuance, however cutting the supplementary budget seems to have firmed as an appropriate remedy, thereby easing concerns about the bond market.

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