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Weekly Macro & Markets View

What were the key global economic data releases, what is Zurich’s view and what does this mean for financial assets?

Weekly Macro and Markets View, Week 4

Highlights and View

  • US inflation rates hold steady at the end of 2025
    Price pressure remains elevated, however, and a pickup in trimmed mean measures shows that the Fed will have to proceed with caution.
  • China closes 2025 on a weak macro note, with Q4 GDP at 4.5% YoY, while strong December trade data lift the full year trade surplus to a record USD 1.2tn
    Export strength is helping to offset persistent domestic weakness while policymakers are beginning to signal that more easing measures may be forthcoming.
  • US-EU tensions re-escalate as President Trump threatens 10% tariffs as of February on eight European nations linked to US control over Greenland
    The Turnberry trade agreement is in jeopardy as EU MEPs withdraw support, and risks of trade escalation have increased with calls for use of the EU’s Anti-Coercion Instrument.

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