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Weekly Macro & Markets View

What were the key global economic data releases, what is Zurich’s view and what does this mean for financial assets?

Weekly Macro and Markets View, Week 25

Highlights and View

  • The ECB raised its deposit rate by 25bps to 2.25% on concerns around energy-driven inflation
    Economic weakness limits the likelihood of an extended hiking cycle, and we currently expect no further rate moves in upcoming meetings.
  • The US and Iran reach an interim agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz
    The agreement is yet to be signed, but markets welcomed the announcement with solid gains for both equities and bonds.
  • Bank Indonesia delivers a surprise 25bp off-cycle hike to defend a battered rupiah as outflows mount
    While the move has triggered a market rebound, a durable recovery will hinge on whether the government steps back from populism and state intervention.

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