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Our view on
Economics & Markets

Macroeconomics and movements in financial markets impact many aspects of our lives. Having a well-informed view of what could transpire can help mitigate the risks we face and uncover profitable opportunities.

Our most recent publications

October 27, 2025

Weekly Macro & Markets View, Week 44

  • UK headline and core inflation are both 0.0% MoM in September
    The soft inflation print triggered a substantial rally in gilts and makes a BoE rate cut later this year more likely.
  • October Eurozone PMIs show the greatest divergence between the German and French economic outlooks since the sovereign debt crisis
    The German Service PMI rose to a two-year high of 54.5. This contrasts starkly with a corresponding French figure of 47.1, reflecting the high political uncertainty in France.
  • Milei’s strong win expected to reshape market narrative on Argentina’s outlook
    The ruling party’s strong mid-term election victory is expected to boost market confidence, support local asset repricing, and improve Argentina’s prospects of regaining market access.
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October 01, 2025

Monthly Investment Insights

Key developments

  • The Fed cuts interest rates for the first time in nine months and signals more to come
  • Nvidia and Oracle announce massive investments, while cross-shareholdings increase as the capex boom intensifies
  • The US imposes a USD 100k fee on new H-1B visas while also announcing 100% tariffs on branded or patented drugs

 

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September 19, 2025

Inflation Focus Q3 2025

Key points
  • Inflation is well-behaved but increasingly divergent, with tariff pass-through underway
  • Tariff headwinds and policy uncertainty will weigh on growth, but a recession is not expected
  • Labour market dynamics are weakening, helping to contain wage growth and services inflation
  • The global rate cutting cycle has further to run, though central banks need to remain vigilant and focused on inflation


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Weekly Macro & Markets View

Designed to give clear interpretation of the previous week’s macroeconomic and financial market developments. This publication represents how Zurich sees the financial landscape evolving on a week-by-week basis.

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Monthly Investment Insights

Structured to give a succinct view of the investment outlook and economic prospects for the coming months. Focus is on key developments from an investment perspective, with a tactical view presented on the major asset classes of equities, credit and government bonds.

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Inflation Focus

A quarterly publication, conveying the most likely outlook for inflation over the subsequent 12-24 months. Global and regional views are provided, detailing the driving forces behind the outlook. Point forecasts are offered for the major coverage areas, with short-term moves and pressures also identified.

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Topical Thoughts

Investigative research on specific issues that affect the business environment, with expert thoughts and opinions provided on an ad hoc basis.

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Economic and Market Outlook

With a 12 months focus, this publication is designed as a reference document for multiple user groups. It is segmented by region and provides in-depth coverage of both economic and financial market fundamentals, as well as the underlying trends that are observed.

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Mid-Year Outlook

An update on the Economic & Market Outlook is provided, gauging developments and projecting how the months ahead are likely to unfold.

Videos and Podcasts

To compliment some publications, a series of short videos and, in the case of Topical Thoughts and the Economic and Market Outlook, more detailed podcasts are available.

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